12ÔÂ7ÈÕ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÃÀ¹úÌ«ÑôÄÜÐÐҵлá(SEIA)ºÍ×Éѯ»ú¹¹WoodMackenzie·¢²¼¡¶2023Q4ÃÀ¹úÌ«ÑôÄÜÊг¡¶´²ì¡·±¨¸æ³Æ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Ëæ×ÅÁª°îÇå½àÄÜÔ´Õþ²ß¿ªÊ¼ÉúЧ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÃÀ¹ú2023ÄêµÚÈý¼¾¶ÈÐÂÔö¹â·ü×°»ú´ïµ½6.5¼ªÍߣ¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Í¬±ÈÔö³¤35%£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Ò²³ÉΪÃÀ¹úÀúÊ·Éϵļ¾¶Èиß;2023ÄêǰÈý¼¾¶È£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÃÀ¹úÀۼƹâ·ü×°»ú´ïµ½161GW£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬³¬¹ýÈ«²¿·¢µç×°»úµÄ1/3¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£
±¨¸æ±íʾ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬½ñÄêµÚÈý¼¾¶ÈÐÂÔö×°»ú´ó²¿·ÖÀ´×Ô¹«ÓÃÊÂÒµ¹æÄ£Ï¸·ÖÊг¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Í¬±ÈÔö³¤58%;´ËÍ⣬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬»§Óùâ·üÁìÓòͬ±ÈÔö³¤12%£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÏêÇé¼ûÏÂ:
»§Óùâ·ü£º2023ÄêµÚÈý¼¾¶È£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬»§Óùâ·üÔÚ³¬¹ý21Íò¸öÏîÄ¿ÖеݲװÁ¿´´ÏÂÁË1.8GWµÄ¼¾¶Èиߣ¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Í¬±ÈÔö³¤12%£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬»·±ÈÔö³¤29%¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¸üÖØÒªµÄÊÇ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬¸Ã»·±ÈÔö³¤Êǽ¨Á¢ÔÚQ2ͬ±ÈÔö³¤31%µÄ»ù´¡ÉÏ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬¼ÓÖÝÊÇ×î´óµÄ¹±Ï×Õߣ¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬×îÖ÷ÒªµÄÔÒòÊǼÓÖݾ»¼ÆÁ¿Õþ²ßµÄ±ä»¯ÊµÊ©×îºóÆÚÏÞ¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£
µØÃæ¹â·üµçÕ¾£ºÈÚ×ʳɱ¾ÉÏÉý¡¢Äæ±äÆ÷¶ÌȱºÍ»¥Á¬Æ¿¾±Ó°ÏìÁ˹«ÓÃÊÂÒµ¹æÄ£¹â·üϸ·ÖÊг¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬¸ÃÁìÓòкÏͬǩÊðÁ¿Îª2018ÄêÒÔÀ´µÄ×îµÍˮƽ¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£µ«Ëæ×ÅÈ«Çò¹â·ü×é¼þ¹©Ó¦Á´µÄ¸ÄÉÆ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬2023ÄêQ3¹«ÓÃÊÂÒµ¹æÄ£Ï¸·ÖÁìÓòÐÂÔö¹â·ü×°»ú4GW£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Í¬±ÈÔö³¤58%£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Ò²Ï൱ÓÚ2022ÄêÈ«ÄêÐÂÔöÁ¿;ǰ9¸öÔ¹«ÓÃÊÂÒµ¹æÄ£¹â·ü×°»ú´ïµ½´´¼Í¼µÄ12GW¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£
¹¤ÉÌÒµ¡¢ÉçÇø¹â·ü£ºQ3¹¤ÉÌÒµ¹â·ü×°»úΪ363MW£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Í¬±ÈϽµ3%£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬»·±ÈϽµ6%¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£Ö÷ÒªÊǶ«±±²¿¸÷ÖÝÂÔÓзŻº£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬²¿·Ö±»¼ÓÖݺÍÐÂÐËÖÝÊг¡µÄÔö³¤ËùµÖÏû¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£ÉçÇø¹â·ü×°»ú274MW£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Í¬±ÈÔö³¤14%£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÓëÉϼ¾¶ÈÏà±È³Öƽ¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£
Õ¹ÍûδÀ´£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬SEIAºÍWoodMackenzieÔ¤²â£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬µ½2028Ä꣬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Ì«ÑôÄܹâ·ü·¢µçÀÛ¼Æ×°»úÈÝÁ¿½«´Ó2023Äê9Ôµ׵Ä161GWÔöÖÁ37GW¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£
( À´Ô´: ±±¼«ÐÇÌ«ÑôÄܹâ·üÍø·Òë )